I have been 'monitoring' those IUOMA members whose Birthdays have appeared on the 'Birthdays Today' part of this site. I started this, because I did not recognise many of their names, and wondered if they were indeed active members of IUOMA?
This led me to try and define what an 'Active Member' was, and to see how many of those whose birthdays were listed are indeed active.
I found that about 1 in 5 of them were active, and extrapolated from this that the Active Membership of IUOMA (based on the starting figure of 3263 Members on 22 December, 2013, was, at the end of the month's analysis, about 630.
The daily statistics for the month long period are below. (As are the methodological and statistical shortcomings, of which I am only too well aware.)
Mark Twain wrote that there are 'Lies, damned lies, and statistics', and you can read whatever you like into my statistics (and lies!).
I draw the following conclusions from them:
i) about 20% of IUOMA's Members are 'Active' as I have defined it.
ii) the remaining 80% may or may not be active Mail Artists outside the IUOMA network
iii) at one time this 80% were active IUOMA Mail Artists --that's why they joined (but see vii) below!)
iv) it is not necessary to be in any network to be a Mail Artist (well, I suppose you have to have at least one other person in your network to send Mail Art too!)
v) within IUOMA, a small number of people are responsible for a large amount of activity. They are the 'Super Actives'.
vi) as to the rest of us, well, we have different levels of Mail Art activity. I see it a bit like a love affair: start enthusiastically and with great passion, but then what you do and how vigorously you do it sort of tails off over time, and eventually you just get to live with your Mail Art personage.
vii) many IUOMA Mail Artists have been and gone, and, I trust, are still Mail Arting. As Mail Art is supposed to be enjoyable, and it certainly is for me, I would like to dedicate this whole Blog to one of our number who you have probably never heard of, but whose approach to Mail Art somehow seems to encapsulate what it is all about: fun. This is Deletemeplease's profile:
She bcame a member of IUOMA, joined one Group, but never posted a message, photo, or blog, or joined a discussion, and has not been heard of or from since.
Vive Mme Deletemeplease!
Here is the detailed analysis...
I always look at the 'Birthdays Today' part of this web-site. Do you?
Many of the names I do not recognise, so I look at their pages, and what do I find?
Simply, that many of them are inactive in IUOMA -- they don't post any messages, they don't receive any messages, they haven't been heard from for a long time, they don't join Groups, they don't have Friends, they don't post Photos, etc.
Indeed some Members just seem to join, get welcomed from a few of us, and then...poof! .... they vanish.
They -- and indeed some of the Members of IUOMA from way back in time -- might in fact be dead. (I don't suppose that they left behind a message saying 'Please remove my name from IUOMA'.)
I've decided to keep track for a month or so of who is active in IUOMA, using the 'Birthdays Today' information, as I am curious as to how many 'real' -- ie active and participatory -- Members we have.
I record Members as being either 'Inactive' or 'Active'. If I'm uncertain as to which they are, I count them as 'Active'. The 'Active' Members are then expressed as a % age of those having Birthdays. The final figure is a prediction of the number of 'Active' Members, based on the starting membership figure of 3,263.
(I KNOW this has methodological deficiencies -- not everyone provides their date of birth; some people may be active in Mail Art, but not in the IUOMA context; the Inactive/Active distinction is simple; birthdays might not be randomly distributed throughout the year; the 30 day period I have chosen is atypical; the 'sample' size is too small etc -- but in the absence of anything better, it's as good an indicator as any other, such as, for example, selecting one name from each of the 156 pages listing IUOMA's 3263 members. AND it is based on a fairly random sample of 200+ names For more on this, please look at the comments below).
So I will be listing what I find in the following 6 columns:
Number of Predicted
Date No of Birthdays Inactive Members Active Members % Active Members
Two sets of data are included, eg 11(17) -- the first the number for that day, the second the cumulative total/%age for that column. I will analyse the Birthdays that are listed here from 22 December, 2013 to 21 January, 2014 for one month.
Here we go:
Number of Predicted
Date No of Birthdays Inactive Members Active Members % Active Members
2013
22 Dec 6 (6) 4 (4) 2 (2) 33 (2/6) 1076
23 Dec 11 (17) 7 (11) 4 (6) 35 (6/17) 1142
24 Dec 9 (26) 7 (18) 2 (8) 31 (8/26) 1011
25 Dec 8 (34) 7 (25) 1 (9) 26 (9/34) 860
(It was Jesus' Birthday! He was made an Honorary Member of IUOMA!)
27 Dec 4 (45) 3 (35) 1 (10) 22 (10/45) 717
28 Dec 7 (52) 3 (38) 4 (14) 27 (14/52) 876
29 Dec 8 (60) 7 (45) 1 (15) 25 (15/60) 815
30 Dec 7 (67) 5 (50) 2 (17) 25 (17/67) 815
31 Dec 5 (72) 4 (54) 1 (18) 25 (18/72) 815
2014
1 Jan 19 (91) 18 (72) 2 (19) 21 (19/91) 681
2 Jan 7 (98) 6 (78) 1 (20) 20 (20/98) 665
3 Jan 8 (106) 7 (85) 1 (21) 20 (21/106) 646
4 Jan 2 (108) 2 (87) 0 (21) 19 (21/108) 632
5 Jan 9 (117) 7 (94) 2 (23) 19 (23/117) 638
6 Jan 11 (128) 10 (104) 1 (24) 19 (24/128) 611
7 Jan 7 (135) 6 (110) 1 (25) 18 (25/135) 604
8 Jan 8 (143) 8 (118) 0 (25) 17 (25/143) 570
9 Jan 7 (150) 6 (124) 1 (26) 17 (26/150) 565
10 Jan 11 (161) 10 (134) 1 (27) 17 (27/161) 547
11 Jan 3 (164) 3 (137) 0 (27) 16 (27/164) 537
12 Jan 7 (171) 5 (142) 2 (29) 17 (29/171) 553
13 Jan 7 (178) 4 (146) 3 (32) 18 (32/178) 586
14 Jan 5 (183) 4 (150) 1 (33) 18 (33/183) 588
15 Jan 6 (189) 3 (153) 3 (36) 19 (36/189) 617
16 Jan 3 (192) 3 (156) 0 (36) 18 (36/192) 611
17 Jan 13 (205) 9 (165) 4 (40) 19 (40/205) 636
18 Jan 12 (217) 10 (175) 2 (42) 19 (42/217) 631
19 Jan 6 (223) 4 (179) 2 (44) 20 (44/223) 643
20 Jan 9 (232) 8 (187) 1 (45) 19 (45/232) 632
21 Jan. 11 (243) 9 (196) 2 (47) 19 (47/243) 630
THE END
Comment
I've added soms interesting statistics from the last month......
Val, that you for your effort! Of course, you had to define "active" and "nonactive" in black and white terms, in order to be able conduct a quantitative survey, and the results are interesting. As far as I know they are in line with sociological research about group behaviour. Of course in real life being active or not active is more on a sliding scale.
Another interesting study would be into the activities of the 20% who are active. I presume here again, there could be similar results, that is, that 20% of active members are responsible for 80% of the online traffic, and that 20% send and receive 80% of actual mail art.
The numbers are very interesting, as always. Conclusions can go in any direction, but with keeping track on numberst this way, there is bound to be a lot of good conclusions. Thanks for sharing this with us Val. As for statistivcs, we are now on 164,000 pageviews last 31 days. Do that x12 and you have the numbers of pageviews for a year on IUOMA network, and that is almost 2 milion). Have a speedy recovery Val, and hopefully you'll be back soon online.
I featured your posting so it is easily found Val!
Nice work Vaalentine :)
BALLS!
Sorry to hear that. Come on Kunsthound. Get up...walkies...activity, dog GO!
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